North Dakota Senate Race: Kevin Cramer’s lead over Heidi Heitkamp grows as voters support Kavanaugh
The Senate race in North Dakota took a deeper and more shocking turn as a new poll shows that Republican Kevin Cramer’s lead over incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitcamp grew.
A new poll from Valley News shows Kramer ahead by 10 points, 51-41% – a rise from the recent Fox poll which showed Cramer up 48-44%.
The hot question is whether the U.S. Supreme Court battle matters: 60% of the likely voters in North Dakota support the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court. 27% were opposed.
While this sample size is small, at 650 voters, the Fox poll showed the same: “Voting against Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court might hurt Heitkamp. One in three voters who say they could change their mind before November say they would be less likely to vote for Heitkamp if she opposes Kavanaugh, while 21 percent would be more likely.”
“North Dakota is an uphill fight for the Democrats,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the surveys with Democrat Chris Anderson. “It’s a red state overall, and anti-Trump sentiment just isn’t a rallying point here like it is in some other states.”
President Trump carried North Dakota in a 36-point landslide, and a 54 percent majority approves of his job performance.
In the race for North Dakota’s lone House seat (the seat Cramer is vacating to run for Senate), Republican Kelly Armstrong (48 percent) leads Democrat Mac Schneider (34 percent) by 14 points.
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