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Published On: Fri, Sep 16th, 2016

New Poll: Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 6%, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein left off

Donald Trump’s lead over Hillary Clinton in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times national tracking poll grew to nearly six percentage points on Thursday, his largest advantage since his post-convention bounce in July.

The biggest reason is turnout as Trump supporters claim ready to vote while Clinton is enduring a drop in support as the poll shows the advantage previously held by Clinton gone.

The poll shows Trump leading Clinton, 47%-41%.

Fox News has polls with and without Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party’s Jill Stein, both showing Trump leading Clinton by one percent. Johnson has 8%, Stein 3% in that Fox News poll.

While neither candidate is believed to contend for the White House, neither appears to be gaining any traction to make the debate threshold of 15%.

That said, Clinton has a 64% chance of winning the election in the FiveThirtyEight election forecast.

One of the areas of interest is Clinton losing support with the Black Vote, now up to 19.5% with Clinton dropping below 75% to 73%. Trump is also rising among male voters and the graphs show the spikes – check that out HERE.

 

photo/ donkeyhotey

photo/ donkeyhotey

How the USC/L.A. Times Daybreak tracking poll works

The USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Presidential Election “Daybreak” Poll asks more than 400 people each day about their voting intentions. The poll is part of the Understanding America Study (UAS) at the University of Southern California’s Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research.

Each day’s poll respondents are a subset of the UAS election panel, roughly 3000 U.S. citizens who were randomly recruited from among all households in the United States. Respondents are asked three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win?

Results are weighted to match demographic characteristics, such as race and gender, from the U.S. Census Current Population Survey, and are aligned to the 2012 presidential election outcome using self-reported votes in that election.

These charts are updated daily (just after midnight) with an average of all of the prior week’s responses. The Daybreak Poll began on July 4, 2016, and will run through the November election. It is being conducted in partnership with the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics and the Los Angeles Times. For more information about the survey’s methods and to download the source data please visit http://election.usc.edu/.

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About the Author

- Writer and Co-Founder of The Global Dispatch, Brandon has been covering news, offering commentary for years, beginning professionally in 2003 on Crazed Fanboy before expanding into other blogs and sites. Appearing on several radio shows, Brandon has hosted Dispatch Radio, written his first novel (The Rise of the Templar) and completed the three years Global University program in Ministerial Studies to be a pastor. To Contact Brandon email [email protected] ATTN: BRANDON

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