Donald Trump leads New Hampshire over Marco Rubio as Hillary Clinton now leads Sanders
The latest PPP Poll shows Donald Trump leads a packed GOP race in New Hampshire with Hillary Clinton now pulling ahead of Bernie Sanders, who has led earlier polls.
PPP’s newest New Hampshire poll finds Trump leading in the state by 14 points over Florida Senator Marco Rubio at 15%, Chris Christie and John Kasich at 11%, and Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz at 10%. Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina at 4%, Rand Paul at 3%, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum at 1%, and Jim Gilmore with less than 1% round out the field.
On the Democratic side Clinton is at 47% to 44% for the Vermont Senator with 3% for Martin O’Malley. There’s an incredible divide between the Democrats and independents planning to vote in the primary- Clinton leads Sanders 55/36 with Democrats, but Sanders almost completely cancels that out with a 59/29 advantage among non-Democrats planning to vote in the primary.
2011 CPAC photo Gage Skidmore
“The establishment split is what’s keeping Trump in such a good position. In a pared down field of the candidates generally viewed as the top 3 in the overall race Trump would lead Rubio by just 2 points, 36/34, with Cruz back at 19%. And Trump trails Rubio 52/40 and Cruz 46/39 in head to head match ups while leading Bush just 46/45,” the PPP analysis states.
“If the Republican establishment really wants to stop Donald Trump in New Hampshire it might require some more people dropping out of the race,” said Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected] Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “4 different establishment candidates all polling in double digits is what’s allowing Trump to have such a big lead in the state.”
The PPP also noted that “The bottom’s dropped out on Ben Carson whose support has gone from 9% to 4% and whose favorability has gone from 52/30 to 48/34. Interestingly the other candidate whose seen his support drop is Ted Cruz, who’s gone from 13% to 10% with his favorability remaining steady at 54/29 this month to 53/28 last month. ”
Regarding Democrats: “Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have been within 2-3 points of each other on our last two New Hampshire polls,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Clinton is dominant with the Democratic establishment, but Sanders is proving to be more appealing to people outside the party. It may come down to how many of those non-Democrats he can get to come out and choose to vote in the Democratic race rather than the Republican one that’s drawn a lot more interest.”
photo/ donkeyhotey
