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Published On: Mon, Sep 14th, 2015

Donald Trump leads Ben Carson in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina polls

Ahead of this week’s GOP Presidential debate, a YouGov polling analysis puts Donald Trump and Ben Carson at the top of the GOP list in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina – the three early state primaries.

2011 photo/ Gage Skidmore

2011 photo/ Gage Skidmore

“Donald Trump continues to soar. But according to the poll, the outspoken billionaire is now joined in the top tier by another candidate from beyond the Beltway – former neurosurgeon Ben Carson,” they noted.

“In Iowa, a quarter of likely Republican caucus voters tap Ben Carson as their top choice for the GOP nomination, putting him only 4 points behind Donald Trump. Accounting for respondents’ second choice preferences, Carsion actually leads Trump narrowly…Carson also comes in a strong second in South Carolina, where 21% of likely Republican primary voters back him and 36% back Trump. Sen. Ted Cruz is a distant third with 6%.”

“Notably, three of the top four candidates in New Hampshire have never held elected office (John Kasich, Ohio’s governor, is the exception) and in all three early states polled the majority of Republicans back one of two “non-politicians” – Trump or Carson – with every other candidate in single digits. Data elsewhere in the poll sheds some light on the phenomenon. Asked which one of four candidate qualities is most important to deciding their vote, Republican voters cited experience “getting things done” in the private sector more often than political acumen in all three states.”

YouGov noted that “Rick Perry dropped out of the Republican race the day after the fieldwork for this poll was completed.”

Here’s the data: Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Republican Presidential caucus in 2016? Asked of Republican primary voters

IOWA/ NEW HAMPSHIRE/ SOUTH CAROLINA / TOTAL / AVERAGE

Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%, 6%, 5%  – 14%  AVG: 4.7%

Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25%, 12%, 21% – 58% AVG: 19.3%

Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%, 2%, 2%  – 5%  AVG: 1.7%

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%, 5%, 6% – 21%  AVG: 7%

Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%, 8%, 3% – 15%  AVG: 5%

Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%, 0%, 0% – 1% AVG: 0.3%

Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%, 0%, 5% – 5%  AVG: 1.7%

Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%,1%, 3% – 8% AVG: 2.7%

Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%, 0%, 1% – 3% AVG: 1.0%

John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%, 9%, 4%  -15%  AVG: 5%

George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%, 0%, 0% – 0%  AVG: 0%

Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%, 6%, 1% – 9%  AVG: 3%

Rick Perry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%, 1%, 0% – 1% AVG: 0.3%

Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%, 2%, 3% – 11% AVG: 3.7%

Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%, 0%, 1% – 4% AVG: 1.3%

Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%, 40%, 36% – 105%  AVG: 35%

Scott Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%, 3%, 3% – 11% AVG: 3.7%

No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%, 6%, 5% – 15% AVG: 5%

Full questionnaires, with details on margin of error for each group, can be found in the links below. 

Iowa

New Hampshire

South Carolina

photo/ donkeyhotey

photo/ donkeyhotey

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About the Author

- Writer and Co-Founder of The Global Dispatch, Brandon has been covering news, offering commentary for years, beginning professionally in 2003 on Crazed Fanboy before expanding into other blogs and sites. Appearing on several radio shows, Brandon has hosted Dispatch Radio, written his first novel (The Rise of the Templar) and completed the three years Global University program in Ministerial Studies to be a pastor. To Contact Brandon email [email protected] ATTN: BRANDON

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  1. Dave Francis says:

    ALL of these presidential candidates have little to say about the illegal alien problem. They are all closed mouthed and probably scared of their own shadow. Mr. Donald Trump is completely different from the pack, and is not hindered in saying anything that is the truth and that is exactly what people want to hear the truth? The rhetoric is finally old hat and the majority of the population is not listening anymore? They want change! Trumps greatest advantage to me and millions of millions of average American, they cannot buy his loyalty. All of a sudden the career professionals on both side of the aisle in Congress cannot offer any special favors to the wealthy donors.

    Myself, the family circle have had it on trust with both parties and so has the unknown numbers of people throughout the United States that are ready to collectively vote for Trump. You cannot even have any credence in the REAL numbers of illegal aliens in our nation, as the government fudges so much on any statistics?

    That’s what we want and always needed a true outsider who is not looking for a handout cash to fill their campaigns and their own bank accounts. Jeb Bush cannot touch trump or even Madam Clinton; Ben Carson is really too timid to fight the deal makers or those who are falling behind in the polls. A billionaire, where money is no object and a chance ‘TO MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN’; somebody who is worth voting for, to bring back all the jobs to our country again, and more jobs for every new and genuine American; jobs for people who have given up and can hardly put food on the table? Food stamps were never the answer, except to those people who prefer to be a parasite on the working man or women. No matter whom you are and as long as you’re here in the United States legally, then you will be eligible for a job.

    Forget the Birthright Citizenship controversy; the Feds need to run Mandatory E-Verify without any immunity. How can an enforcement tool, work to its full capacity if it’s optional? Its about time employers were accountable for using illegal workers, instead of hiring Americans. Paying low wages in any industry should be severely punished. Every American of any race, color or religion should be first for any job, and not foreign nationals? Business owners deserve prison and hefty fines.

    The National Border Patrol Council President Brandon Judd, testified before the House Oversight Committee earlier last week and projected that the agency has only accomplished operational control for approximately 40% of the U.S.-Mexico border. Former President Bush signature on the 2006 Secure Fence Act had an obligation that DHS attain operational control along the entire Southern border.

    US Border Patrol agents testified about the porous and brutal conditions facing them on the southern border.

    Committee Chairman Jason Chaffetz, (R-Utah) first questioned Director of Customs and Border Protection’s joint task force, Robert L. Harris, on the topic of operational control, but he wouldn’t articulate how much was under control. Operational control means that the government in that area is ready and capable of interdiction or apprehending illegal aliens crossing the border.

    Brandon Judd said.” I would say we would be lucky if it we’re 40 percent”

    Councilor Judd also said that one out of every five illegal aliens caught along the border in 2014 have a criminal record. Nearly half of the criminal aliens that were deported had aggravated felonies, helping to explain some of the violence in the different sectors.

    “This is the challenge we are facing at the border today,” Judd said. “There are those who will point to lower apprehension rates and tell you the border is secure. Border Patrol agents, however, throughout this nation will tell you the border is not secure and the southwest border certainly is not safe.”
    DHS also revealed this week that only 36 miles of the U.S.-Mexico border has effective double fencing. That came in response to a letter sent to the agency by Senate Judiciary Committee Member, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). DHS also said that 66% of the border had no fencing at all. The agency said:
    • 1,300 miles have no fencing (66.5%)
    • 299.8 miles have vehicle fence (15.3%)
    • 316.6 miles of pedestrian fence (16.2%)
    • 36.3 miles of double-layer fencing (.02%)
    • The current total for primary fencing to be 352.9 miles. 316.6 single layer plus 36.3 miles of double layer = 352.9 miles of primary fencing.

    I really hope Mr. Donald Trump has takes the time to read about this disgraceful travesty. Why is it that King Obama hasn’t deployed the national guards into these places? Go in with Apache helicopters, mini guns and even tanks and clean out these ‘Hell holes” Are we so naive to protect our own country from these animals, who kill without thought? Continuously we have been lied to by the top leaders in the Democratic and Republican Party? King Obama has put the cuffs on the Border agents only to process and not taken into detention.

    I read: Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu, whose county lies at the center of major drug and alien smuggling routes to Phoenix and cities east and west, attests to the violence. He said his deputies are outmanned and outgunned by drug traffickers in the rough-hewn desert stretches of his own county.
    “Mexican drug cartels literally do control parts of Arizona,” he said. “They literally have scouts on the high points in the mountains and in the hills and they literally control movement. They have radios, they have optics, and they have night-vision goggles as good as anything law enforcement has.

    “This is going on here in Arizona,” he said. “This is 70 to 80 miles from the border – 30 miles from the fifth-largest city in the United States.”

    This is what I have been saying all the time; when just a few years ago I drove to the Arizona border region and saw it for myself? The signs were posted by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) along a 60-mile stretch of Interstate 8 between Casa Grande and Gila Bend, a major east-west corridor linking Tucson and Phoenix with San Diego. Land—our own country and you’re told to stay away. Why is billions of our tax dollars spent to defend foreign countries when we are losing American territory to a bunch of criminals? Citizens should be able to travel highways in southern Arizona without fearing for their lives. Ranchers and other residents should be able to live safely on their property — which they do not.

  2. On the Republican side, Donald Trump and Ben Carson have grown increasingly popular in the past two months - TrendZulu says:

    […] of this weeks GOP Presidential debate, a YouGov polling analysis puts Donald Trump and Ben Carson at the top of the GOP list in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina the three early state […]

  3. Donald Trump leads Ben Carson in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina polls - InfoPult News says:

    […] Read more at The Global Dispatch Related News Bernie Sanders soars in Iowa, New Hampshire Vice President Joe Biden continues to rise in Democratic presidential polls without officially announcing a run against Hillary Clinton and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. Sanders is seeing a rise in … READ MORE Glenn Beck: Donald Trump a ‘third grader,’ Sarah Palin a ‘clown’ In the wake of a gathering at the capitol, radio host Glenn Beck slammed GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump on Thursday, saying he is more concerned about the Iran nuclear … READ MORE South Carolina abortion clinics, including Columbia Planned Parenthood, cited with several violations Today, the S.C. Department of Health and Environmental Control (DHEC) notified abortion clinics in South Carolina of enforcement actions following an investigation and inspections. “DHEC remains committed to ensuring that … READ MORE Rick Perry drops out of GOP race, bashes Donald Trump tactics Rick Perry, the former Texas governor dropped his second bid for the White House on Friday, the first of the 17 GOP candidates present in the two-part debate a month … READ MORE Donald Trump’s hair the ‘mane’ event at keynote speech At the end of his keynote speech at the International Council of Shopping Centers event at the Javits Center Monday, Donald Trump — who revealed his real estate career started… … READ MORE Donald Trump Gets Womansplained On Planned Parenthood When presidential hopeful and self-proclaimed cherisher of women, Donald Trump called in to "The View" on Sept. 10, he had much to say about women's issues.After clarifying some of his … READ MORE Funny Or Die’s ‘Mexican Donald Trump’ Has Way Bigger Cojones Mexican Donald Trump with George Lopez from Adam "Ghost Panther" McKayDonaldo Trumpez, the Mexican Donald Trump played by George Lopez in this Funny Or Die sketch, has big plans to … READ MORE Who Said it? Donald Trump or NBA Superstar Lebron James? The Answers Will Not Surprise You. Presidential candidate and former Comedy Central Roastee Donald Trump has made multiple headlines this year for his repetitive racist and fascist-like remarks. His cartoonish rich-guy cliches have lent themselves to … READ MORE Bernie Sanders soars in Iowa, New Hampshire Glenn Beck: Donald Trump a ‘third grader,’ Sarah South Carolina abortion clinics, including Columbia Planned Parenthood, Rick Perry drops out of GOP race, bashes Donald Trump’s hair the ‘mane’ event at keynote Donald Trump Gets Womansplained On Planned Parenthood Funny Or Die’s ‘Mexican Donald Trump’ Has Way Who Said it? Donald Trump or NBA Superstar var hupso_services_c=new Array("twitter","facebook_like","facebook_send","google");var hupso_counters_lang = "en_GB";var hupso_image_folder_url = "";var hupso_url_c="";var hupso_title_c="Donald Trump leads Ben Carson in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina polls"; […]

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