Iowa Poll: Ben Carson joins Donald Trump atop GOP list, Scott Walker falling
A new Monmouth poll of Iowa Republican voters indicates a tie between Donald Trump and a rising Ben Carson, with Scott Walker dropping the most.
“When Iowa Republicans are asked who they would support in their local caucus, Ben Carson (23%) and Donald Trump (23%) tie for the top spot. The next tier of candidates includes Carly Fiorina (10%) and Ted Cruz (9%), followed by Scott Walker (7%), Jeb Bush (5%), John Kasich (4%), Marco Rubio (4%), and Rand Paul (3%). The last two Iowa caucus victors, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, each garner 2% of the vote. None of the other six candidates included in the poll register more than 1% support,” the summary report states.
“These results mark a significant shake-up in the leaderboard from Monmouth’s Iowa poll taken before the first debate,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ. “Carson and, to a lesser extent, Fiorina have surged, while Walker has faded into the background.”
Comparing the poll results from July to August, the Wisconsin governor fell by 15% while Carson soared by the same amount.
“Only 12% of likely Republican caucusgoers say they are completely decided on which candidate they will support in February. Another 42% have a strong preference now but are willing to consider Monmouth University Polling Institute 8/31/15 2 other candidates, 27% percent have a slight preference, and 20% say they are really undecided even if they are able to name a choice now,” the report says.
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The analysis attempted to assess how locked in voters are to certain candidates, where ideology and gender matter and if they prefer issues or experience.
Check out the full report HERE
“The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from August 27 to 30, 2015 with 405
Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses in February 2016. This sample has a
margin of error of +4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in
West Long Branch, NJ. “
